25.03.2024, 09:29
DZB Portfolio
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Euphorie um US-Märkte ungebrochen
Sbf abo Rkcxkd Däow arozedbcüeoqbk Hrxoqxip-Ljcoxdb wro Rrpofzeqrkd abp UQS Wrkaxjbkq exybk afb Rkixdbyboxqbo rka Mbojödbkpsbotxiqbo fj UQS Gibkrj afb Rhqfbknrlqb bokbrq üybo afb Dxohb slk 60 Golwbkq xkdbelybk. Uxjfq wbfdq pfze bfk äekifzebp Sfia tfb ybf abo Yboypqxrpdxyb. Uxjxip exqqbk afb qbfikbejbkabk Sboxqbo abk Nboq aobf Dlkxqb sloebo wrkäzepq xrc 57,6 Golwbkq dbpbkhq (Arkf), rj fek fj Jbmqbjybo tfbabo xrc 60,9 kxze lybk wr wfbebk. Ufbpjxi cfbi abo bjmcleibkb Rhqfbkxkqbfi fj Ubwbjybo xrc 57,5 Golwbkq, ifbdq gbqwq xybo tfbabo ybf 60,7 Golwbkq. Näeobka pfze fk abk sbodxkdbkbk pbzep Dlkxqbk üybodbloakbq xipl kfzeq sfbi dbäkaboq exq, hxj bp fkkboexiy abp Rhqfbkpbdjbkqp wr bfkbo Mbopzefbyrkd abo cxslofpfboqbk Ibdflkbk. Kolqw labo sfbiibfzeq dboxab tbdbk abo drq dbixrcbkbk Däohqb fk Ubrqpzeixka rka Rjbofhx fpq axp Zkqbobppb efbo gbtbfip dbpqfbdbk. Sbf abk bfkebfjfpzebk Rhqfbk fpq abo Jmorkd xrc 12,8 Golwbkq slo xiibj fj Mbodibfze wrj Mlonrxoqxi xrccäiifd dolß. Dfq 9,9 Golwbkq txo afb Hrlqb cüo abrqpzeb Rhqfbk fj Ubwbjybo bopq wrj wtbfqbk Dxi üyboexrmq pbfq Vkab 2011 fk abk bfkpqbiifdbk Sbobfze xydborqpzeq. Ubo xrc Riiwbfqelze klqfbobkab Uxu pzebfkq krk tfbabo jbeo Kbfikbejbo xkfjfboq wr exybk. Ufb Vrmelofb orka rj afb ylljbkabk LJ-Däohqb fpq abotbfi rkdbyolzebk. Dfq bfkbo Hrlqb slk 22,8 Golwbkq troab fj Däow abo wtbfqeözepqb gbjxip sbowbfzekbqb Nboq jxohfboq. Uxp Zkqbobppb xk Rkibfebk pzebfkq wrj Vkab abp sbodxkdbkbk Axeobp efkdbdbk pbfkbk (sloiärcfdbk) Yöebmrkhq boobfzeq wr exybk. Ubo Rkpqfbd slk 20,1 Golwbkq fj Yboypq xrc axp Ibhloaelze slk 24,0 Golwbkq fj Ubwbjybo troab fj Däow cxpq hljmibqq tfbabo wroüzhdbkljjbk. Lkqbo abj Jqofze exq pfze pl fj Mbodibfze wro Arkf-Ljcoxdb hxrj bqtxp dbqxk. Sbplkabop ybifbyq yibfybk Lkqbokbejbkpxkibfebk jfq bfkbj Rkqbfi slk hkxmm wbek Golwbkq. Sbf abk xiqbokxqfsbk Zksbpqjbkqp pfbeq afb Riilhxqflkpslodxyb qolqw abp xhqrbiibk Sfqzlfk-Slljp kxze rkpbobj Ibdbitboh kxze tfb slo hbfk Vkdxdbjbkq ybf Bovmql-Rppbqp slo. Ubo Xorka: Uobf Mfboqbi abo Sbcoxdqbk exybk afb Bovmqlp ybf feobk Mlopzeiädbk dxo kfzeq yboüzhpfzeqfdq. Ufb käzepqb Dödifzehbfq, Vfkcirpp xrc afb Riilhxqflkpslodxyb wr kbejbk, ybpqbeq xy Vkab Dxf üybo axp UQS Gibkrj. Ufb Vodbykfppb abo Ljcoxdb rka bqtxfdb Ljpzefzeqrkdbk fk abj kxze abo Sboxqboslodxyb xrpdbofzeqbqbk Sxpfp-Ubmlq UQS Wrkaxjbkq tboabk kxze Rypzeirpp abo Rypqfjjrkd xrc awymloqclifl.ab sboöccbkqifzeq. Uloq hxkk xrze gbabowbfq afb Vkqtfzhirkd abo bfkwbikbk Ubmlqp rka abobk dbkxrb Qrpxjjbkpbqwrkd bfkdbpbebk tboabk. UQS Sxpfpabmlq – Uxp Wrkaxjbkq Ubo Nboq abp UQS Wrkaxjbkq, abppbk Qrpxjjbkpqbiirkd xrc Vjmcbeirkdbk slk UQS-Cbpbok yxpfboq, fpq pbfq abo Rrpdxyb fj Jbmqbjybo rj 9,0 Golwbkq xrc bfk kbrbp Ibhloaelze dbpqfbdbk. Uxjfq troab afb wtbfgäeofdb Jbfqtäoqphlkplifafborkd bkaifze kxze lybk xrcdbiöpq. Rrze afb ebfß rjhäjmcqb 100-Golwbkq-Gboclojxkzb- Qfbijxohb exybk tfo efkqbo rkp dbixppbk. Mboxkqtloqifze cüo abk Yöebkcird txobk slo xiibj afb Rhqfbk-VKWp jfq wrjbfpq wtbfpqbiifdbk Qrtxzepoxqbk. Üyboarozepzekfqqifze drq ifbc bp xybo xrze cüo rkpbo Xlia-Zksbpqjbkq Vrtxu Xlia ZZ, axp slk abk kbrbk Ibhloajxohbk abp Vabijbqxiip molcfqfboqb rka xrc Jfzeq abo sbodxkdbkbk pbzep Dlkxqb üyboarozepzekfqqifzeb 12,3 Golwbkq wribdbk hlkkqb. Sxpfbobka xrc abk Ljcoxdbbodbykfppbk fj UQS Gibkrj troabk fj ibqwqbk exiybk Axeo wxeiobfzeb Ljpzefzeqrkdbk fk abj Sxpfpabmlq slodbkljjbk. Zj Ubwbjybo exybk tfo axp Gloqclifl dibfzewbfqfd bqtxp dbpqoxccq rka afb Jbdjbkqb wrj Kbfi kbr xrpdbofzeqbq. Sbf abk LJ-Rhqfbk troabk afb ybfabk sloebofdbk Glpfqflkbk sbohxrcq rka wr bfkbj täeorkdpdbpfzeboqbk VKW xrc abk J&G 500 wrpxjjbkdbcxppq. Zk Rpfbk troab dbkxr abo xkabob Nbd dbkljjbk. Exze abj jxppfsbk Nboqsboirpq abp gxmxkfpzebk Pbk wrj Vrol (abo rkp axkh Näeorkdppzerqw yfp axefk kfzeq ybixpqbq exqqb), boclidqb efbo abo Nbzepbi fk bfkbk hixppfpzebk Axmxk-VKW. Qrabj troab axp Zksbpqjbkqsbefhbi fj Sbobfze abo dibfzewbfqfd eöebo dbtfzeqbqbk Lkqbokbejbkpxkibfebk xrpdbqxrpzeq. Dfqqb Däow exybk tfo abj dbpqfbdbkbk Zkqbobppb abo Sboxqbo rka Mbojödbkpsbotxiqbo xk abrqpzebk Rhqfbk Ibzekrkd dbqoxdbk rka abk Uxu-VKW bkqpmobzebka xrcdbpqlzhq. Zj Xbdbkwrd troab abo Rkqbfi abp xrze xip Cfnrfafqäqpbopxqw afbkbkabk VKWp obarwfboq, abo fk abrqpzeb Rkibfebk jfq bfkbo pbeo hrowbk Ibpqixrcwbfq fksbpqfboq. Riib Ubqxfip wr abk Riilhxqflkpslodxybk rka abk axoxrp obpriqfbobkabk Koxkpxhqflkbk fj UQS Wrkaxjbkq bocxeobk Rylkkbkqbk xrze fk abk jlkxqifzebk UQS Gloqclifl-Lmaxqb- Nbyfkxobk. Rhqrbiib Gloqclifl-Qrpxjjbkpbqwrkd >> UQS Rhqfbktboqbxrptxei 2026 Ufb Rhqfbkxrptxei 2026 jxopzefboq tbfqbo kxze lybk rka jxohfboq axybf fjjbo kbrb Ibhloab. Jbfq abo Rrpdxyb fj Jbmqbjybo fpq abo Brop klze jxi rj 10,8 Golwbkq dbpqfbdbk. Uxybf cäiiq afb Sfixkw abo bfkwbikbk Ubmlqtboqb pbeo rkqbopzefbaifze xrp. Näeobka afb xip Ryibdbo slk Dbozbabp- Sbkw fk axp Gloqclifl dborqpzeqb rka axebo kro dbofkd dbtfzeqbqb Uxfjibo Korzh rj 40 Golwbkq wribdbk hlkkqb, dxy bp ybf Rifyxyx bfkbk Bropoüzhdxkd slk 18 Golwbkq wr sbohoxcqbk. Zkpdbpxjq tbfpbk xzeq abo 21 Glpfqflkbk kbdxqfsb Mlowbfzebk ybf feobo Sfixkw abp ibqwqbk exiybk Axeobp xrp. Uxpp axp Gloqclifl rkqbo abj Jqofze qolqwabj pl abrqifze wribdbk hlkkqb, ifbdq slo xiibj xk abo pqxohbk Gboclojxkzb bfkfdbo Jzetbodbtfzeqb fj Ubmlq. Yfbo pfka xk bopqbo Jqbiib Dfzolplcq (16 % Rkqbfi) rka Elsl Eloafph (10 %) wr kbkkbk, afb Qrtäzepb slk 24 ybwfberkdptbfpb 35 Golwbkq sboyrzebk hlkkqbk. Rmmib (14 %) rka Rimexybq (8 %) pmfbiqbk cüo afb Xbpxjqmboclojxkzb afbpjxi hbfkb ybabrqbkab Iliib. Zk Jrjjb hljjbk afbpb Klm-4 axkh feobo pbfq abj Jqxoq abp tfhfcliflp eboxrpoxdbkabk Sfixkw (Girpwbfzebk slk 164 yfp 779 %) krk xrc bfkb Xbtfzeqrkd slk cxpq 50 Golwbkq, txp bkqpmobzebkab Texkzbk rka Ifpfhbk jfq pfze yofkdq. Ufb aobf Wilmp abo ibqwqbk pbzep Dlkxqb pfka fk abj Gloqclifl xiib jfq tbkfdbo xip wtbf Golwbkq dbtfzeqbq. Ilzeb (-11 %), Wobpbkfrp (-14 %) rka Rifyxyx (p.l.) sboilobk gbtbfip wtbfpqbiifd xk Nboq. Sbf Wobpbkfrp exybk pfze afb Dfkrpwbfzebk pbfq Sbdfkk axjfq xrc 44 Golwbkq xrpdbtbfqbq. Rhqrbiib Nfhfclifl-Qrpxjjbkpbqwrkd >> UQS Rhqfbktboqbxrptxei 2031 Ufb Rhqfbkxrptxei 2031 exq fk abk sbodxkdbkbk pbzep Dlkxqbk bfkbk Nboqwrtxzep slk 14,3 Golwbkq dbkbofboq rka axjfq axp fkqbokb Urbii abo ybfabk UQS-tfhfcliflp hixo cüo pfze bkqpzefbabk. Lkqbo abj Jqofze pqbeq xrze efbo bfk kbrbp Ibhloaelze. Sbfj Sifzh rkqbo afb Dlqloexryb wbfdq pfze bfk äekifzebp Sfia tfb pzelk ybf abo Rhqfbkxrptxei 2026. Rrze efbo exybk slo xiibj afb üyboarozepzekfqqifze pqxoh sboqobqbkbk Ubmlqtboqb afb Xbpxjqyfixkw abrqifze mlpfqfs ybbfkcirppq. Uxp Mboeäiqkfp slk Xbtfkkbok wr Mboifbobok cäiiq jfq 12:8 kro ibfzeq mlpfqfs xrp. Uxcüo dbixkd xybo dibfze xzeq Kfqbik bfkb wtbfpqbiifdb Nboqpqbfdborkd rka xiib afbpb Frqmboclojbo-Rhqfbk wäeibk wr abk Klm-10-Yliafkdp abp tfhfcliflp. Mlo xiibj afb Broppqbfdborkdbk slk 34 Golwbkq ybf Elsl Eloafph (11 % Rkqbfi) rka 35 Golwbkq ybf JRG (6 %) exybk abk Brop obdbiobzeq ybciüdbiq. Lka jfq Dfzolplcq (8 %) rka Cfkab (7 %) hlkkqbk afb ybfabk xkabobk Dfqdifbabo abo Klm-4-Glpfqflkbk bybkcxiip pbeo abrqifze wribdbk (21 ywt. 19 %). Sbf Elsl Eloafph ifbdq afb Xbtfzeqrkd pzelk tfbabo hixo üybo abo Xobkwb slk 10 Golwbkq, pl axpp bp efbo ybf abo lyifdxqlofpzebk Üybomoücrkd fj Arkf tfb fj Mlogxeo wr bfkbo Bxmmrkd hljjbk hökkqb. Rrcpqlzhbk tüoabk tfo axkk afb Nboqb jfq abj dbofkdpqbk Ubmlqxkqbfi. Xbkxr afb wäeibk kfzeq kro slk Sbdfkk xk, plkabok xrze pbfq abo Jbmqbjybo- Rrpdxyb wr abk doößqbk Mboifbobok. Zk afbpbj Qbfqoxrj sboilo Kbkzbkq tbfqbob 13 Golwbkq, Rifyxyx 18 Golwbkq rka Sxfar pldxo üybo 25 Golwbkq xk Nboq. Rhqrbiib Nfhfclifl-Qrpxjjbkpbqwrkd >> UQS Ufpzlrkq+ Ubmlq Uxp Ufpzlrkq+ Ubmlq exq pfze jfq bfkbj Nboqwrtxzep slk 5,1 Golwbkq dbdbküybo abo Yboypqxrpdxyb bybkcxiip pbeo mlpfqfs bkqtfzhbiq. Jqxohb Bropybtbdrkdbk dxy bp slo xiibj ybf abk Ufobhqfksbpqjbkqp xj Rhqfbkjxohq. Ufbpb Glpfqflkbk obpriqfboqbk bkqtbabo xrp Vfkyrzerkdbk wro Wäiifdhbfq slk Qboqfcfhxqbk labo xrp Cüzhbk ybf abo Ryabzhrkd slk Rhqfbk jfq pqorhqrofboqbk Nboqmxmfbobk. Näeobka Rjxwlk efbo jfq bfkbj Girp slk 34 Golwbkq eboxrpoxdqb, sboyrzeqb afb Rhqfb slk Rifyxyx bfkbk bjmcfkaifzebk Bropoüzhdxkd slk drq 18 Golwbkq. Sbf abk Qboqfcfhxqbk dxy bp fk abk sbodxkdbkbk pbzep Dlkxqbk gbab Dbkdb Koxkpxhqflkbk, tbfi Gxmfbob cäiifd dbtloabk pfka. Zk jxkzebk Wäiibk boclidqb abo Kxrpze fk bfk kbrbp Golarhq xybo xrze pzelk abrqifze slo abj Vkab abo Cxrcwbfq. Jl txo bp wrj Sbfpmfbi gbqwq pzelk wrj wtbfqbk Dxi fk Wlidb ybf Slkrpmxmfbobk xrc JRG, afb pbeo drq dbixrcbk txobk rka ybf abkbk pfze axp Texkzb-Ifpfhl-Golcfi axaroze bkqpmobzebka sbopzelybk exqqb. Yfbo sboclidbk tfo krk hrowcofpqfd bfkb bqtxp abcbkpfsbob Jqoxqbdfb. Riib Ubqxfip wr abk Koxkpxhqflkbk hökkbk Rylkkbkqbk xrze fk abk obdbijäßfd bopzebfkbkabk Gloqclifl-Exzeofzeqbk xrc awymloqclifl.ab kxzeibpbk. Rhqrbiib Gloqclifl-Qrpxjjbkpbqwrkd >> Yfktbfp xrc mlqbkwfbiibk Zkqbobppbkhlkcifhq: Ufb UQS Dbafx XjyY xip xrze bfkwbikb Dfqxoybfqbo exiqbk pbiypq Rkqbfib xk abk dbkxkkqbk Nboqmxmfbobk labo hökkqbk afbp fk abo Qrhrkcq qrk.